Progress Report:
March 2004  -  May 2004
(AOMIP)


PI: Andrey PROSHUTINSKY, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, USA

Co-Principal Investigators:

 Ruediger GERDES, AWI, Germany
 Sirpa HAKKINEN, GSFC/NASA, USA
 David HOLLAND, NYU, USA
 Greg HOLLOWAY, IOS, Canada
 Mark JOHNSON, IMS/UAF, USA
 Michael KARCHER, AWI, Germany
 Wieslaw MASLOWSKI, NPS, USA
 Michael STEELE, PSC/UW, USA
 Jia WANG, IARC/UAF, USA

Co-Investigators:

 Helge DRANGE, NERSC, Norway
 William HIBLER, IARC, USA
 Marika HOLLAND, NCAR, USA
 Elizabeth HUNKE, LANL, USA
 Hugues GOOSSE, LLN, Belgium
 Elena GOLOUBEVA, ICMMG, Russia
 Cornelia KOEBERLE, AWI, Germany
 Alexander MAKSHTAS, IARC/UAF, USA
 Mathew MALTRUD, LANL, USA
 Miguel MAQUEDA, NYU, USA
 Gennady PLATOV, ICMMG, Russia
 Albert SEMTNER, NPS, USA
 Petteri UOTILA, NYU, USA
 Nikolai YAKOVLEV, RAS, Russia
 Jinlun ZHANG, PSC/UW, USA


The main AOMIP objectives for 2004 are:

- to complete a coordinated set of model runs 
for 1948-2004 under standard forcing, described in detail at
http://fish.cims.nyu.edu/project_aomip/overview.html

- identify and analyze differences among models, and 

- determine the  best model runs for specific purposes related
to the investigation of the major AOMIP scientific themes covering
the variability of the Arctic Ocean climate, namely: circulation of
Atlantic waters; freshwater accumulation and release mechanisms;
sea ice thickness, and sea-ice volume variability.


Coordinated Analysis Experiment:

During March-May, 2004, the AOMIP team is carrying out a coordinated
analysis experiment in order to simulate Arctic sea ice and ocean 
conditions over the period 1948-2004. 

Eleven (mostly regional) coupled ice-ocean models are used in this 
experiment, namely:

   AWI:   Alfred Wegener Institute, Germany
          (two models with, one high- and one low-spatial resolution); 
   GSFC:  NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, USA; 
   IARC:  International Arctic Research Center, USA;
   ICMMG: Russian Academy of Science, Novosibirsk; and 
   IOS:   Institute of Ocean Science, Canada; 
   LANL:  Los Alamos Laboratory, USA 
          (high-resolution global model);
   LLN:   Louvain La Neuve, Belgium 
          (global model); 
   NPS:   Naval Postgraduate School, USA;
   NYU:   New York University, USA
          (two models, one isopycnal, and one z-coordinate);
   RAS:   Russian Academy of Science, Moscow; 
   UW:    University of Washington.

All models use identical initial conditions, basic parameters, 
and forcing fields. Partial model results (because not all models 
have completed experiment by this date) are collected at the 
New York University AOMIP-LAS (Live Access Server), i.e. data archive. 
(See http://maud.cims.nyu.edu:8080/las_aomip/servlets/dataset ).
This cyber infrastructure allows for efficient model-data exchange 
among AOMIP participants.  As well, the AOMIP common-forcing data 
sets, archived at the AOMIP web site, are available through the 
AOMIP-LAS. Monthly mean data have been stored and include:

- T and S at all model levels;
- U, V for water 
  (at all model levels);
- U, V for ice;
- ice thickness; 
- ice concentration; 
- stream function;
- sea surface height;
- ocean surface salt and heat fluxes;
- vertically integrated FW content 
  (relative to 34.8);
- vertically integrated heat 
  (relative 0ºC potential temperature).

Results of the AOMIP investigations based on individual 
process studies and covering the AOMIP scientific themes 
are reflected in AOMIP papers published or accepted in late 
2003 or in 2004 and are listed below.

A considerable amount of AOMIP time was dedicated to the organization
of the 7th AOMIP workshop.  That workshop will take place during
June 14-15, 2004, at GFDL and is timed to precede the CLIVAR 
Workshop: Evaluating the Ocean Component of IPCC-Class Models (June 
16-18). 

Day 1 of the workshop will involve a comprehensive 
discussion of results from the Coordinated Analysis 1948-2004. 

Day 2 will be dedicated to a discussion of various topics: 

     model calibration and validation approach; 
     model improvement plan; 
     collaboration and coordination of our activity with other MIPs; 
     some internal problems including: 
         project coordination, 
         funding opportunities, 
         research themes, 
         publications. 

Scientists from other MIPs will attend our workshop
in order to exchange international experience in model improvements
and intercomparison studies.  We expect fruitful discussions
which will significantly enhance our project.


Publications:

Published in 2004
 
Dukhovskoy, D. S., M. A. Johnson, and A. Proshutinsky (2004), Arctic 
decadal variability: An auto-oscillatory system of heat and fresh 
water exchange, Geophys. Res. Lett.,31, L03302, 
doi:10.1029/2003GL019023.

Gerdes, R., Hurka, J., Karcher, M., Kauker, F., Koeberle, C.(2004). 
Simulated history of convection in the Greenland and Labrador seas 
1948-2001, AGU monograph Climate Variability of the Nordic Seas, 
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, accepted..

Goosse H., R. Gerdes, F. Kauker and C. Koeberle, 2004: Influence of 
the exchanges between the Atlantic and the Arctic on sea-ice volume 
variations during the period 1948-1997. Journal of Climate, 
17 (3) 1294-1305.

Hakkinen, S., A. Proshutinsky (2004), Freshwater content variability 
in the Arctic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03051, 
doi:10.1029/2003JC0011940.

Hu, Z.-Z., S. Kuzimina, L. Bengtsson, and D.M. Holland, 2004: Mean and 
uncertainty of Arctic sea-ice change and their connection with Arctic 
climate change in CMIP2 simulations. (Accepted J. Geophys. Res. - 
Atmosphere). 

Karcher, M. J., Harms, I. H.(2004). Arctic Ocean Shelf-Basin
Interaction, Proceedings of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment 
(ACIA) workshop on Arctic Climate Feedback Mechanisms, 17 -19 
November, Tromsø, Reports of the Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, 
Norway, in press..

Karcher, M. J., Gerland, S., Harms, I., Iosjpe, M., Heldal, H., 
Kershaw, P. J., Sickel, M.(2004). The dispersion of technetium-99 in 
the Nordic Seas and the Arctic Ocean: a comparison of model results 
and observations, Journal of environmental radioactivity, in press.

Maslowski, W., D. Marble, W. Walczowski, U. Schauer, J. L. Clement, 
and A. J. Semtner (2004), On climatological mass, heat, and salt 
transports through the Barents Sea and Fram Strait from a pan-Arctic 
coupled ice-ocean model simulation, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03032, 
doi:10.1029/2001JC001039.

Proshutinsky, A., I. M. Ashik, E. N. Dvorkin, S. Häkkinen, R. A. 
Krishfield, and W. R. Peltier (2004), Secular sea level change in 
the Russian sector of the Arctic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03042, 
doi:10.1029/2003JC002007.

Steiner, N., Holloway, G., Gerdes, R., Hakkinen, S., Holland, D., 
Karcher, M. J., Kauker, F., Maslowski, W., Proshutinsky, A., Steele, 
M., Zhang, J.(2004). Comparing modeled streamfunction, heat and 
freshwater content in the Arctic Ocean, Ocean Modelling 6, 265-284.

Yakovlev, N. G., Coupled model of ocean general circulation and sea 
ice evolution in the Arctic Ocean, Izvestiya, Atmopsheric and Oceanic 
Physics, vol. 39, No 3, 2003, pp. 355-368.

Wang, J., Q. Liu, M. Jin, M. Ikeda and F. Saucier, 2004. A coupled
ice-ocean model in the pan Arctic and the northern North Atlantic 
Ocean: Simulation of seasonal cycles (J. Oceanogr., conditionally 
accepted).

Wang, J., M. Ikeda, S. Zhang and G. Gerdes, 2004. Linking the northern
hemisphere sea ice reduction trend and the quasi-decadal Arctic sea 
ice oscillation (Climate Dyn., accepted).

Zhang, J., M. Steele, D.A. Rothrock, and R.W. Lindsay, Increasing
exchanges at Greenland-Scotland Ridge and their links with the North 
Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic sea ice, GRL, in press, 2004.


Published in October-December 2003 and not previously reported to 
IARC:

Proshutinsky, A., (2003), Circulation of water and ice. In: Arctic 
Environment variability in the context of Global change, Eds. L. P. 
Bobylev, K. Ya. Kondratyev and O.M. Johannessen, Springer, Praxis 
Publishing, Chichester, UK, p. 172-180.

Proshutinsky, A., (2003), Modeling of ocean and sea ice circulation. 
In: Arctic Environment variability in the context of Global change, 
Eds. L. P. Bobylev, K. Ya. Kondratyev and O.M. Johannessen, Springer, 
Praxis Publishing, Chichester, UK, p. 181-202.

Lindsay R.W., A. P. Makshtas, (2003), Air-sea interaction in the 
presence of the Arctic pack ice.  In: Arctic Environment variability 
in the context of Global change, eds. L.P. Bobylev, K. Ya. Kondratyev 
and O.M. Johannessen, Springer, Praxis Publishing, Chichester, UK, p. 
203-236.

.
© David Holland.
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